Guidelines
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Use uncertainty-revealing rendering when certainty is not warranted

For uncertainty communication in quantitative displays, use uncertainty-revealing rendering on charts to improve trust and mitigate false objectivity for readers.

  • purpose:refine
  • basis:empirical
  • operator:uncertainty
  • lever:encoding
  • communication:credibility
  • quality:trust:use
  • aesthetic:style:use

advice

Uncertainty-revealing rendering

Add rendering that visibly signals tentativeness when the data should be questioned. For example, use sketchy drawing styles or explicit uncertainty-conveying renderings instead of a clean minimalist presentation when uncertainty, missingness, or bias is part of the message.

reason

Why visible uncertainty helps

A polished, exact-looking chart can make uncertain data feel more authoritative than it is. Visual signals of tentativeness can slow overconfident reading and make viewers more willing to question the evidence.

Mechanism: Clean minimalist rendering can project objectivity and certainty, while sketchy or uncertainty-revealing styling makes uncertainty part of what the reader perceives.

Evidence: The paper argues that clean layouts can grant unwarranted authority and objectivity to data, while sketchy and uncertainty-conveying renderings can increase willingness to critique and appreciation of uncertainty (Bertini et al., 2020).

context

Use when the chart should not look fully settled

  • User Goal: Communicate uncertainty, tentativeness, or the need for critique.
  • Task: Uncertainty communication rather than only fast value extraction.
  • Data: Uncertain, missing, biased, or otherwise not fully settled.
  • Chart Setting: A quantitative display that might otherwise look overly clean and authoritative.
  • Audience: Readers who might otherwise take the chart as objective truth.
  • Success Criterion: Readers notice uncertainty and remain willing to question the display.

exceptions

Do not use when fast exact reading is the whole job

Break it when: The display is meant for fast, exact reading of settled values and uncertainty is not part of the message. Why: The extra visual difficulty can slow decoding without adding needed information.

costs

Costs of uncertainty-revealing rendering

Sacrifice: You give up some speed and precision in immediate value reading. Risk: Blind use can make already-clear data harder to decode. Mitigation: Apply the treatment when the chart should explicitly communicate uncertainty or invite critique.

mistakes

Common certainty mistake

Mistake: Keeping a clean minimalist rendering when uncertainty is central to the story. Why it fails: The chart can look more objective and settled than the data deserves.

check

Check whether the chart overstates certainty

Failure Sign: Uncertain data looks fully settled and authoritative. Quick Check: Remove the title and caption and ask whether the marks themselves still signal uncertainty. Stronger Test: Compare a clean version and an uncertainty-revealing version; if the clean version looks more certain than the data warrants, the original is masking uncertainty.

fix

Fix the rendering

  • Apply sketchy styling to the uncertain marks.
  • Add explicit uncertainty-conveying rendering where values are missing or uncertain.
  • Replace a purely clean minimalist treatment that hides the tentativeness of the data.

References

Bertini, E., Correll, M., & Franconeri, S. (2020). Why Shouldn’t All Charts Be Scatter Plots? Beyond Precision-Driven Visualizations. 2020 IEEE Visualization Conference (VIS), 206–210. https://doi.org/10.1109/VIS47514.2020.00048